Israeli Election Results in Complex Political Landscape

Israel's recent election results have left the country with a complex political landscape, as neither of the two main camps secured the 61 seats needed to form a government. The right-wing bloc, led by Benjamin Netanyahu, won 53 seats, while the center-left bloc, led by Benny Gantz, secured 48 seats. This outcome has opened the door to various possibilities, including a minority government, a national unity government, or even new elections.

The Arab parties, which won a record 19 seats, hold a significant position in the negotiations, despite some leaders' refusal to form a government that relies on their votes. The political calculations are further complicated by disagreements among party leaders about the next prime minister, the nature of the partnership with the Arab and ultra-Orthodox parties, and campaign promises that are difficult to backtrack on without political losses.

The political situation is further complicated by the possibility of a rotation in the prime minister's office and potential U.S. President Donald Trump intervention to push for a broad and stable government. The official process of appointing a candidate to form the government has begun, but the final outcome remains uncertain. It hinges on Netanyahu and Gantz's ability to build alliances that transcend current divisions.

According to Israeli law, the 26th Knesset is expected to open on November 10, two weeks after election day. The real race to form the government begins when the Central Elections Committee submits the official results to President Isaac Herzog. After receiving the results, Herzog will invite representatives of all parliamentary blocs to his residence to hear their recommendations for a suitable candidate to form the next government. The first candidate will have 28 days to present their government, with a possible 14-day extension by the president. If the first candidate fails, Herzog can appoint a second candidate, often from the opposition bloc, to form a government within 28 days without extension. If that also fails, the president can declare the inability to form a government, initiating a 21-day period during which 61 Knesset members can propose a government.